Content note

Please be aware that this Big Question contains descriptions and images of injuries and deaths caused by disasters which may be disturbing to some readers.

Test your knowledge about disasters from history

Where did the deadliest blizzard in modern history take place?

The Iran Blizzard, which took place in February 1972, was the most deadly blizzard in modern recorded history. In some areas snow reached a depth of 26 feet, while several towns and villages were completely buried. The storm resulted in the deaths of around 4000 people. 

Probably – human beings are coming up with new and better ways to predict and survive natural disasters all the time

We've all heard about disasters and catastrophes on the news. But how do we define exactly what a natural disaster is? 

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According to the World Heath Organisation, a natural disaster is

"an act of nature of such magnitude as to create a catastrophic situation in which the day-to-day patterns of life are suddenly disrupted and people are plunged into helplessness and suffering, and, as a result, need food, clothing, shelter, medical and nursing care and other necessities of life, and protection against unfavourable environmental factors and conditions." 
Guide to sanitation in natural disasters, WHO (1971).

This means that a natural disaster is

A) A natural event, that 

B) Suddenly and seriously affects people's ability to go about their everyday lives.

As Oxford Geography DPhil student Liam Saddington points out, this means that a massive storm, drought, volcanic eruption, wildfire or meteorite strike that hits somewhere where no human beings are around to be affected is technically a "natural event", not a "natural disaster". 

To learn more about the scientists who study natural events and disasters, read on!

Witnesses to disaster from Pompeii to Malibu

What do Miley Cyrus and Liam Hemsworth have in common with a Victorian sea captain, a medieval tax collector and a teenager from Ancient Rome? They’ve all been directly affected by natural disasters, and have lived to tell their stories.

Please be aware that some videos and images below contain detailed descriptions and footage of injuries and death which may be disturbing to some readers.

  1. The eruption of Mount Vesuvius in the year 79CE caused widespread destruction. Burning ash engulfed the nearby Roman cities of Pompeii, Herculaneum and Stabiae, burying them so deeply that they would not be re-discovered until the 1700s. A young man named Pliny, who would later grow up to be a lawyer and writer known as Pliny the Younger, was in the nearby town of Misenum. He was eighteen years old, and he wrote down what he saw:

    You might hear the shrieks of women, the screams of children, and the shouts of men; some calling for their children, others for their parents, others for their husbands, and seeking to recognise each other by the voices that replied; one lamenting his own fate, another that of his family; some wishing to die, from the very fear of dying; some lifting their hands to the gods; but the greater part convinced that there were now no gods at all, and that the final endless night of which we have heard had come upon the world... At last this dreadful darkness was dissipated by degrees, like a cloud or smoke; the real day returned, and even the sun shone out, though with a lurid light, like when an eclipse is coming on. Every object that presented itself to our eyes (which were extremely weakened) seemed changed, being covered deep with ashes as if with snow.

    From the British Museum's online exhibition 'Life and Death in Pompeii and Herculaneum'

     

     

  2. ​Maria Graham (later Lady Maria Callcott) was part of a Royal Navy family. She travelled around the world with her father, and later her husband, and wrote books about what she saw. She was in Chile during the earthquake of 1882, and the observations that she wrote down and published were later used by the geologist Charles Lyell to support the theory that earthquakes could cause land masses to rise.

    Maria wrote:

    Never shall I forget the horrible sensation of that night… Amid the noise of the destruction before and around us, I heard the lowing of the cattle all the night through; and I heard too the screaming of the seafowl, which ceased not till morning. There was not a breath of air; yet the trees were so agitated that their topmost branches seemed on the point of touching the ground…

    Great fissures are made on the banks of the lake; the house is not habitable; some of its inmates were thrown down by the shock, and others by the falling of various articles of furniture upon them… The alluvial soil on each side of the river looks like a sponge, it is so cracked and shaken: there are large rents along the sea-shore; and during the night the sea seems to have receded in an extraordinary manner.

    From Maria Graham, Journal of a Residence in Chile, During the Year 1822. And a voyage from Chile to Brazil in 1823, Augustus Wall Callcott, Portrait of Maria, Lady Callcott, British traveller and author (1785-1842), image via Wikimedia Commons

  3. In late August 1883, the small island of Krakatau (Krakatoa) in Indonesia was practically destroyed when its volcano erupted. The noise of the eruption was heard across over 10% of the globe, and the resulting tsunamis caused destruction to nearby islands and were felt as far away as South Africa. W.J. Watson was the captain of the Irish merchant ship the Charles Bal, which was caught in the volcanic cloud following the initial eruption.

    Captain Watson reported:

    Darkness spread over the sky, and a hail of pumice-stone fell on us, many pieces being of considerable size and quite warm. Had to cover up the skylights to save the glass…

    The blinding fall of sand and stones, the intense blackness above and around us, broken only by the incessant glare of varied kinds of lightning, and the continued explosive roars of Krakatoa, made our situation a truly awful one. At 11pm, having stood off from the Java shore, wind strong from the south-west, the island, eleven miles distant, became more visible, chains of fire appearing to ascend and descend between the sky and it, while on the south west end there seemed to be a continued roll of balls of white fire…

    From letter published in Nature, Dec 3 1883, image 1888 lithograph of the eruption of Krakatau via Wikimedia Commons

  4. In 2011, a massive (9.0-9.1 magnitude) underwater earthquake off the coast of Japan triggered a tsunami. The waves reached heights of up to 40 metres, and more than 15,000 people died. The tsunami also triggered meltdowns at three nuclear reactors in the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant complex. In this video, brother and sister Takuma and Sayaka Wakasugi, who lost their father in the tsunami, return to the site of their former home and discuss how they have coped with his loss.

  5. In November 2018, two major wildfires in California destroyed hundreds of houses and businesses. At least 88 people had lost their lives at the time this Big Question was written (Source: California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection, Camp Fire and Woolsey Fire datasheets). Among those who lost their homes were singer Miley Cyrus and actor Liam Hemsworth. But rather than complaining, the couple said that they were grateful that their loved ones and pets had been safely evacuated, and donated $500,000 to assist others who had lost their homes.

     

Did you know?

Fire and Ice: The end of the world in poetry

Natural disasters are represented in many ways in art and literature, from Hollywood blockbuster films to novels and epic poems. How has the idea of the end of the world inspired writers, and how could their work affect the way we perceive disaster? 

 


 

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In 1920, the poet Robert Frost wrote a poem called ‘Fire and Ice’ (we can’t reproduce it here, but it’s in lots of English textbooks!). In it, the poet seems to debate with himself about whether the world will be destroyed by fire or come to an icy, frozen end. But was Frost really writing about the literal end of the world, or was he using it as a metaphor, a way of talking about something else? 

What do you think? 

If you were writing a poem about the end of the world, how would you imagine it? Could you use your imaginary disaster as a way of talking about a person's inner state of mind?

Innovations Inspired by Natural Disasters

  1. Many public parks in Tokyo are specially designed to serve as emergency camping sites in case of disaster. If an earthquake or tsunami strikes, they can provide water reservoirs, emergency food supplies and toilet facilities. Some ‘Disaster Prevention Parks’ feature emergency command centres for officials, park benches that double as cooking stoves and even solar-powered lamp posts that can charge mobile phones. Learn more.
     

  2. The LuminAID is an inflatable solar-powered lamp that folds down small and flat when not in use. Architecture students Anna Stork and Andrea Sreshta designed it after they learned about the 2010 earthquake in Haiti. Since then, it has been distributed to disaster survivors in Nepal, Malawi and the Philippines. It was also exhibited at the White House and even featured on Shark Tank (the US version of Dragon's Den). More recent models can also be charged by USB and can charge mobile phones. Although the lamps were originally designed for emergencies, they are now also used by campers and people doing everyday outdoor activities.

    Learn more
     

  3. When you turn your phone sideways, how does it know to change the screen from portrait to landscape mode? Most modern smartphones contain small, cheap accelerometers: devices which can measure gravity to see which way up the phone is being held and adjust the screen so it’s the right way up.

    Scientists at the University of Glasgow have now adapted this technology by adding much smaller, more sensitive springs. They are made from silicon ten times thinner than a human hair – this allows the accelerometer to measure very slight changes in gravity. The new device, named ‘Wee-g’, is much cheaper and smaller than previous equipment used to measure gravity. It was used to measure the 2016 earthquake in Chile, and researchers hope that it can be placed around volcanoes as an early warning system. Learn more
     

Does climate change cause natural disasters?

When a severe weather event strikes, how do we know whether climate change was a factor? In this podcast, Dr Pete Walton explains how researchers use computer modelling to find out...

 


 

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When a severe weather event strikes, how do we know whether climate change was a factor? In this podcast, Dr Pete Walton explains how researchers use computer modelling to find out. They look not only at how extreme weather events are unfolding today, but what they would look like if there were no human-caused climate change factors. If there are significant differences between the two models, as there were with Storm Desmond in the UK in December 2015, climate change is likely to have been a contributing factor.

This knowledge can help us in two ways: by raising awareness that we need to control our impact on the climate, and by helping people who live in areas that are becoming more prone to extreme weather to plan and prepare.

How can we predict and survive natural disasters?

Technology might help us cope with the aftermath of natural disasters, but what can we do to predict them and prevent damage? Urban planners, computer scientists, journalists and even educators all have a role to play in keeping people and cities safe.
 

  1. Catastrophic flooding in the city of Chennai, India, caused the deaths of more than 270 people in 2015. It also brought down the city’s electrical grid and international airport, and cost more than £1.5 billion. Professor Nikita Sud, Associate Professor of Development Studies at Oxford, argues that the flood was made worse by ‘a rampant disregard for town planning, and the basic principles of ecology and hydrology’. Issues included building an airport on the floodplain of the Adyar River (meaning that the river had no space to safely overflow when the rains came), and building over more than 273 hectares of wetland that would normally allow floodwaters to soak away safely. Read more

  2. Satellite imaging can help scientists and governments to spot small changes to the surface of the earth or sea that might indicate a potential disaster in the making. Machine learning can enable computers to analyse satellite images faster than human beings can. Where major floods or droughts might take people by surprise in the past, data scientists like the team led by Dr Steven Reece at the Oxford’s Department of Engineering Science can help people and governments to prepare in time. Dr Reece explains their latest projects: 

    ‘In Malaysia we will be working with government agencies to tackle flooding, oil pollution and illegal logging, all of which pose serious social and economic threats to Malaysian people.… In Ethiopia and Kenya [we focus] on creating an improved understanding of flood and drought risk, thus helping to build local people’s resilience to these natural disasters and alleviate poverty.’ The data gathered will also be used to help develop longer-term strategies to deal with droughts and floods, and to help farmers who would otherwise have little opportunity to insure their crops to access micro-insurance schemes.  Read more 

  3. After an earthquake, a building might look fine on the outside – but how do we know that it hasn’t been damaged inside? Microscopic cracks inside a concrete structure might weaken it, and cause it to collapse unexpectedly the next time the ground is disturbed.

    At the Oxford Department of Computer Science, Dr Orfeas Kypris recently discussed work on designing a set of transmitters to be embedded in new concrete buildings which will report on any structural damage in the concrete. This information can also be used to design better buildings in the future! Read more

Could you survive a natural disaster?

Natural events and disasters have been part of our world for a long time, and there’s no doubt that they can be devastating for the people and animals that are caught up in them – just ask the dinosaurs! But over time we can study them and learn how they work. For example, charting cyclical effects such as ocean currents has helped us to gain more insight into how they interact with the atmosphere, and how this influences droughts and flooding.

Earth scientists have also been able to study the geological record to find out about the distant past of our planet, before human evolution, and study natural hazards from the distant history of the earth. It’s interesting to think about the effects that these events have had on the world and society – for example, would Europe be a different place today if more (or fewer) people had died in the 1918 Influenza Pandemic? And what would things be like for us mammals if the K-PG event hadn't caused a mass dinosaur extinction?

While natural disasters can have terrible consequences, the problems that they create have also driven people to use materials in new and interesting ways. These inventions can also go on to improve people’s everyday lives. For example, the LuminAID inflatable solar lamps inspired by the 2010 Haiti earthquake are now also purchased by people who go on camping trips, while the Ushahidi software platform has recently been used to monitor elections in Kenya, Nigeria and the USA as well as to track disaster situations. 

Changes in our environment and rising population levels might affect the impact of natural disasters in the future. It’s important to research this because spotting patterns in when and where natural disasters occur helps people to prepare for them. As Dr Pete Walton discusses in the podcast above, even simple measures such as setting up a heatwave plan can save lives. Meanwhile, tracking changes in how often disaster events occur and how serious they are will give us more information about how the planet is changing, and what we need to do to stay safe.

As well as creating new inventions, we can change our behaviour in order to better manage natural disasters. Studies in international development can help leaders to make better policy decisions. Computer scientists and engineers can gather and analyse data in order to predict incidents such as droughts and building collapses before they occur, and track whether natural disasters are happening more often. And teachers and journalists can work to make sure that everyone has access to the information that they need to cope with natural disasters, in a format and language that are appropriate to them.